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The Texas Blue
Advancing Progressive Ideas

Early Exit Polling Data for Ohio, Texas

Update (5:45PM) Dem Primary Party ID, Ohio: 69% Dem, 22% Independent, 10% Republican. In Texas: 67% Dem, 24% Independent, 10% Republican.


Update (5:35PM) This is some interesting news, and may signify something about the NAFTA / Canada / Obama strangeness over the last few days. According to MSNBC, 8 in 10 Ohio voters think NAFTA has a negative effect on jobs and is, in general, terrible. In Texas, you would think NAFTA would have more support since union labor is not nearly the norm here like it is in Ohio, but the exit polls say that 6 in 10 Texas Democratic primary voters think NAFTA is a bad idea and damages the job market. I find that to be at least a little surprising. More after the jump.


Update: From ABC News:

Preliminary exit poll results also suggest a healthy turnout by Latinos in the Texas Democratic primary, where early results indicate they're accounting for just over three in 10 voters. If that holds, it'll be a record.

Blacks account for about two in 10 Texas Democratic voters, closer to their customary share of the electorate. In this early data blacks also account for two in 10 in Ohio, which if it holds would be up from 2004.

Turnout among women looks to be up in both states in these preliminary results -- they account for about six in 10 voters in Ohio, and not quite as many in Texas, compared with 52 percent in Ohio and 53 percent in Texas in 2004.


From the Associated Press, via Chron:

Early exit polls show independents are a sizable chunk of the electorate in presidential primaries in Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont.

More than half of Rhode Island Democrats and nearly as many in Texas picked the economy as the top issue out of three choices.

As in other Democratic primaries this year, few voters Tuesday viewed the nation's economy positively. But Texas Democrats were relatively optimistic, with one in seven saying the economy is in good condition - as many as have said that in any other state...

Asked how worried they were about their family's financial situation over the next year, two-thirds of Democratic primary voters in Texas and at least seven in 10 in the other three states said they were very or somewhat worried...

One in seven Obama voters acknowledged Clinton as more qualified to be commander in chief; fewer than one in 20 Clinton voters said that about Obama...

Four in 10 Clinton voters in Ohio and Texas said Obama inspires them about the future of the country. Somewhat fewer Clinton voters in Rhode Island but two-thirds in Vermont gave Obama kudos for being inspirational. Obama voters were much less likely to call Clinton inspirational _ about a quarter of them said that across the four states.

More as we get them, and hopefully a handy chart or two.

A BRIEF NOTE: We've noticed that Google has been sending a number of hits this way, likely from people looking for exit polls from the March 4 primary. As of 2:30pm Central, there are no poll numbers out yet, but please check our front page for the latest breaking news and information on the race. Thank you for reading.

-George Nassar, executive editor
The Texas Blue

Josh Marshall has some preliminary exit polls for the Dems. Get ready for some surprises if these hold. UPDATE: More early exit poll info over at MyDD. Polls quoted:

Democrats
GA: Clinton- 25.5, Obama - 75
CT: Clinton - 45, Obama - 52.2
IL: Clinton - 29.1, Obama - 69.6
AL: Clinton - 37, Obama - 59.6
DE: Clinton - 41.9, Obama - 55.6
MA: Clinton - 47.3, Obama - 49.8
MO: Clinton - 45.1, Obama - 49.8
TN: Clinton - 51.6, Obama - 41.1
NY: Clinton - 55.6, Obama - 42.2
NJ: Clinton - 47, Obama - 52.2
AR: Clinton - 71.2, Obama - 25.5
OK: Clinton - 60.5, Obama - 30.4
AZ: Clinton - 44.8, Obama - 50.5

1st wave:
NM: Clinton - 45.6, Obama - 51.8
UT: Clinton - 39.9, Obama - 60.1
CA: Clinton - 49.6, Obama - 46.3

Republicans
CA: McCain 40, Romney 35
MA: Romney 54, McCain 32
NJ: McCain 50, Romney 32
NY: McCain 50, Romney 31

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