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The Texas Blue
Advancing Progressive Ideas

One Surprise, One Near Certainty

I think most everyone thought McCain would take Washington, and he did. The media is really taking him to task for losing Kansas and Louisiana, but I think we all thought that would happen as well, so the newsbeatings are a little weird. The surprise in the news this weekend comes from Ron Paul, who not only says that he's probably not going to get the nomination, but that he also won't run as a third party candidate.

26% is pretty lame

Yeah, McCain won Washington, but he only got 26%! When 74% of the voters go against the presumed nominee, it's as bad as a loss. McCain's best showing on Saturday was 42% in Louisiana. The press' beating up on McCain for those showings makes a lot more sense than that coronation he was getting last week.

McCain will almost certainly win Maryland and DC on Tuesday, and that will help settle things down. He'll probably also win Virginia, where polls show him 20 points ahead. But if Saturday's results prompt another voter revolt in Virginia, a winner-take-all state, then the Texas primary could be very interesting on the GOP side.

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