Iowa Caucus Open Thread
Thu, 01/03/2008 - 3:15pm
We're opening up this post for any and all discussion on the Iowa caucus. I'll keep a running tab of everything that's going on in Iowa in the comments. Click in, and join in with your comments on how it's going.
EDIT: OK, the caucuses have officially started. Our reporter on the ground in Iowa will be giving us regular updates as to how it's progressing. See below for more.
7:00 Early numbers indicate that Clinton and Obama are neck and neck for first on the D side, and Huckabee and Romney on the R side. Detailed numbers in the comments as we get them.
8:10 We're about to hit 50% reporting on the Dem side, so time for another update up here. 47% reporting, Obama 34% Edwards 32% Clinton 32%. Huckabee has 35% of the R polling to Romney's 24%; Thompson, McCain, and Paul are all duking it out for third in the teens. Details and crosstabs below.
8:36 We have 81% of precincts reporting, and it looks like Obama's getting the nod for winner with 36%. The real stories here are the Democratic fight for second place, with Edwards holding the slimmest of leads over Clinton, and the fight for third on the Republican side, which has become a four-way race between Thompson, McCain, Giuliani, and Paul, with four percentage points separating the top from the bottom of that list.
10:00 OK, we have 98% of precincts reporting on the Democratic side. John Edwards still holds second place with 12 votes, but with so few precincts remaining it seems likely that he'll hold that lead. That would make the results on the Democratic side 38% Obama, 30% Edwards, 29% Clinton. The Republican side is currently Huckabee 34%, Romney 25%, Thompson 13% and third over McCain by about 300 votes of 13,000, with 86% of precincts reporting. It also seems likely that he'll hold, though an upset is still possible there. If that occurs, we'll be sure to mention it tomorrow, but that's enough Iowa tracking for one night. Good night, everybody!